Daily Briefing · July 12, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-TW]

指標或術語是新的嗎？了解 UQ 分析如何運作→

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 12, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +15

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

買入訊號：MELI (85%), ETH-USD (62%)。AI_VWAP 買入訊號。牛市階段。領先板塊。中性宏觀，盤整加密貨幣，技術性買入訊號。整體宏觀：NEUTRAL (分數 +15)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +15NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

—

No data0

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

26 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +15

NEUTRAL

訊號參半 — 建議採取平衡的倉位

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-10

7,575.39

BULL

+1.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,463)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-11

64,298.00

SIDEWAYS

+3.9% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,868)

ADX25 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-10

15.03

Normal

-5.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+7.0%×1.05

醫療保健 (XLV)

+5.7%×1.05

公用事業 (XLU)

+3.9%×1.05

消費性非必需品 (XLY)

+3.5%×1.00

工業 (XLI)

+7.5%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+5.3%×1.00

房地產 (XLRE)

-0.3%×1.00

消費性必需品 (XLP)

-0.9%×1.00

通訊 (XLC)

+0.8%×0.90

能源 (XLE)

-4.8%×0.90

材料 (XLB)

+3.0%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

754.95

Entry / SL / TP

754.95 / 736.42 / 792.02

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market phases. HOLD signal.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

315.32

Entry / SL / TP

315.32 / 299.55 / 346.85

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting confirmation.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

210.96

Entry / SL / TP

210.96 / 203.77 / 225.34

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting clearer signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

434.11

Entry / SL / TP

434.11 / 399.38 / 503.57

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, no strong conviction.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,852.22

Entry / SL / TP

1,852.22 / 1,704.04 / 2,148.58

Confidence

85%

85→85

AI_VWAP BUY signal. Bull market phase. Leading sectors.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

285,000

Entry / SL / TP

285,000 / 335,587 / 209,119

Confidence

35%

35→35

Bear market, defensive strategy, technical HOLD signal.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

64,307

Entry / SL / TP

64,307 / 63,342 / 67,522

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, technical HOLD signal.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,821.62

Entry / SL / TP

1,821.62 / 1,794.30 / 1,912.70

Confidence

62%

62→62

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, technical BUY signal

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.1126

Entry / SL / TP

1.1126 / 1.0903 / 1.1682

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed crypto/KR markets. HOLD bias.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

78.1200

Entry / SL / TP

78.1200 / 71.8704 / 90.6192

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto. Strategy HOLD, SL/TP set.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/11 22:06HOLD157.86

ASML07/11 22:06HOLD1,797.32

PBR07/11 22:06HOLD17.3200

VALE07/11 22:06HOLD14.4600

SHIB-USD07/11 22:05HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →