Daily Briefing · July 11, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-TW]

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 11, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

買入訊號：SPY (97%), MELI (100%), ETH-USD (94%)。RISK-ON 宏觀經濟，美股市場看漲，AI_VWAP 看漲。強烈信心。RISK-ON 宏觀經濟，牛市，強勁買入訊號。整體宏觀經濟：RISK-ON (分數 +30)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.71

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

23 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

風險偏好升高 — 看好成長型資產

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-10

7,575.39

BULL

+1.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,463)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-10

63,960.09

SIDEWAYS

+3.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,807)

ADX26 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-10

15.03

Normal

-5.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+7.0%×1.05

醫療保健 (XLV)

+5.7%×1.05

公用事業 (XLU)

+3.9%×1.05

消費性非必需品 (XLY)

+3.5%×1.00

工業 (XLI)

+7.5%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+5.3%×1.00

房地產 (XLRE)

-0.3%×1.00

消費性必需品 (XLP)

-0.9%×1.00

通訊 (XLC)

+0.8%×0.90

能源 (XLE)

-4.8%×0.90

材料 (XLB)

+3.0%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

754.95

Entry / SL / TP

754.95 / 736.42 / 792.02

Confidence

97%

88→97

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH US market, AI_VWAP bullish. Strong conviction.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

315.32

Entry / SL / TP

315.32 / 299.55 / 346.85

Confidence

44%

40→44

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting clearer signals.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

210.96

Entry / SL / TP

210.96 / 203.86 / 225.17

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical signal HOLD, MA alignment incomplete.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

434.11

Entry / SL / TP

434.11 / 399.38 / 503.57

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro/Market bullish; ML VWAP uptrend, strategy dictates HOLD.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,852.22

Entry / SL / TP

1,852.22 / 1,704.04 / 2,148.58

Confidence

100%

92→100

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, strong BUY signal.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

285,000

Entry / SL / TP

285,000 / 335,587 / 209,119

Confidence

33%

30→33

Bear market, neutral technicals, HOLD signal

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,969

Entry / SL / TP

63,969 / 63,010 / 67,168

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD signal, mixed market phase

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,793.20

Entry / SL / TP

1,793.20 / 1,766.30 / 1,882.86

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, GCS BUY signal, bullish crypto

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.1040

Entry / SL / TP

1.1040 / 1.1592 / 1.0819

Confidence

54%

49→54

Strategy HOLD, mixed market, RISK-ON macro

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.9300

Entry / SL / TP

77.9300 / 71.6956 / 90.3988

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal, mixed market phases

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/10 22:07HOLD157.86

ASML07/10 22:07HOLD1,797.32

PBR07/10 22:07HOLD17.3200

VALE07/10 22:07HOLD14.4600

SHIB-USD07/10 22:06HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →