Daily Briefing · July 10, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 10, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

买入信号：SPY (93%), TSM (85%), ETH-USD (77%)。看涨的宏观与市场，AI_VWAP看涨趋势。BUY。RISK-ON宏观，BULLISH市场阶段，领先板块。AI_VWAP BUY。整体宏观：RISK-ON（分数+30）。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.38

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.71

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

22 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

风险偏好升高 — 看好成长型资产

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-09

7,543.64

BULL

+1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,448)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-09

63,253.49

SIDEWAYS

+2.3% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,824)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-09

15.84

Normal

-6.3% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+6.2%×1.05

医疗保健 (XLV)

+5.4%×1.05

公用事业 (XLU)

+3.3%×1.05

工业 (XLI)

+3.4%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+2.7%×1.00

非必需消费品 (XLY)

+1.1%×1.00

通信服务 (XLC)

-0.6%×1.00

能源 (XLE)

-3.8%×1.00

房地产 (XLRE)

-0.8%×0.90

必需消费品 (XLP)

-0.4%×0.90

材料 (XLB)

-0.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

751.71

Entry / SL / TP

751.71 / 732.88 / 789.37

Confidence

93%

84.7→93

Bullish macro & market, AI_VWAP bullish trend. BUY.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

316.22

Entry / SL / TP

316.22 / 300.41 / 347.84

Confidence

44%

40→44

MA alignment incomplete. Waiting for stronger signal.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

202.78

Entry / SL / TP

202.78 / 201.21 / 203.57

Confidence

44%

40→44

MA alignment incomplete, await entry signal. RISK-ON macro.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

436.96

Entry / SL / TP

436.96 / 402.00 / 506.87

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULLish market phase, leading sectors. AI_VWAP BUY.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,807.83

Entry / SL / TP

1,807.83 / 1,690.48 / 2,042.53

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro/market, but technicals signal HOLD.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

278,000

Entry / SL / TP

278,000 / 329,402 / 200,897

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, technical HOLD, macro RISK-ON

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,218

Entry / SL / TP

63,218 / 62,270 / 66,379

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro, sideways crypto, technical hold.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,746.26

Entry / SL / TP

1,746.26 / 1,720.07 / 1,833.57

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, bullish crypto phase, GCS BUY signal aligned.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0956

Entry / SL / TP

1.0956 / 1.1175 / 1.0408

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways crypto, bearish tech, HOLD strategy. Macro ON.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

78.0000

Entry / SL / TP

78.0000 / 71.7600 / 90.4800

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy weak, market neutral, macro positive.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/09 22:06HOLD158.46

ASML07/09 22:06HOLD1,804.25

PBR07/09 22:06HOLD17.0300

VALE07/09 22:06HOLD14.2200

DOGE-USD07/09 22:05HOLD0.073150

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →