Daily Briefing · July 09, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 09, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (87%), TSM (85%), MELI (74%). RISK-ON macro, BULLish market, AI_VWAP bullish trend. Bullish macro/market, strong sector, BUY strategy Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.69

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

22 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-09

7,514.70

BULL

+0.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,447)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-09

63,012.36

SIDEWAYS

+1.9% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,812)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-09

16.56

Normal

-2.0% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

Financials (XLF)

+5.7%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+5.5%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+3.4%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+3.7%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

+3.0%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-3.4%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

-0.6%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-0.2%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

-2.3%×0.90

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-0.3%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

-0.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

748.73

Entry / SL / TP

748.73 / 730.29 / 785.61

Confidence

87%

79→87

RISK-ON macro, BULLish market, AI_VWAP bullish trend.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

310.36

Entry / SL / TP

310.36 / 294.84 / 341.39

Confidence

55%

50→55

MA alignment incomplete. Macro/market positive. Technicals signal HOLD.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

201.02

Entry / SL / TP

201.02 / 196.06 / 203.50

Confidence

36%

33→36

MA alignment incomplete. Awaiting clearer signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

443.87

Entry / SL / TP

443.87 / 408.63 / 515.23

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro/market, strong sector, BUY strategy

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,795.01

Entry / SL / TP

1,795.01 / 1,677.66 / 2,029.71

Confidence

74%

67→74

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase, leading sectors support.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

278,000

Entry / SL / TP

278,000 / 329,402 / 200,897

Confidence

55%

50→55

Tech signal HOLD, KR market BEAR. Macro RISK-ON. EMA200 above, but uncertainty.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,863

Entry / SL / TP

62,863 / 61,920 / 66,006

Confidence

38%

35→38

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, sideways crypto, HOLD tech. Lower confidence.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,740.52

Entry / SL / TP

1,740.52 / 1,714.41 / 1,827.55

Confidence

55%

50→55

GCS HOLD. Price above Gaussian, RSI 51.8. Macro RISK-ON, crypto sideways.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0968

Entry / SL / TP

1.0968 / 1.1187 / 1.0420

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal; Gaussian below; RSI neutral. Macro RISK-ON but crypto sideways.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.9500

Entry / SL / TP

77.9500 / 71.7140 / 90.4220

Confidence

50%

45→50

Hold signal, VWAP downtrend, RSI:54.3, Macro RISK-ON.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/09 14:16HOLD155.66

ASML07/09 14:16HOLD1,830.86

PBR07/09 14:16HOLD17.1400

VALE07/09 14:16HOLD14.0850

DOGE-USD07/09 14:15HOLD0.072330

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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