Daily Briefing · July 09, 2026 · Post-US Market [TR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 09, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Alım sinyalleri: SPY (%77), AAPL (%84), TSM (%77). RISK-ON makro, GCS yükseliş sinyali, önde gelen sektörler RISK-ON makro, yükseliş GCS sinyali, olumlu görünüm. Genel makro: RISK-ON (puan +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.69

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

20 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk iştahı yükseldi — büyüme varlıkları tercih ediliyor

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-08

7,482.71

BULL

+0.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,440)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-08

62,169.27

SIDEWAYS

+0.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,834)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-08

16.90

Normal

+4.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Sağlık Hizmetleri (XLV)

+6.8%×1.05

Finans (XLF)

+6.1%×1.05

Kamu Hizmetleri (XLU)

+4.9%×1.05

Temel Tüketim Malları (XLP)

+2.3%×1.00

Sanayi (XLI)

+4.2%×1.00

İletişim (XLC)

-1.2%×1.00

Enerji (XLE)

-4.0%×1.00

Gayrimenkul (XLRE)

+1.1%×1.00

Teknoloji (XLK)

-1.4%×0.90

Tüketici Ürünleri (XLY)

+0.1%×0.90

Materyaller (XLB)

+0.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

745.40

Entry / SL / TP

745.40 / 734.22 / 775.22

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, GCS bullish signal, leading sectors

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

313.39

Entry / SL / TP

313.39 / 308.69 / 325.93

Confidence

84%

85→84

RISK-ON macro, bullish GCS signal, positive outlook.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

204.12

Entry / SL / TP

204.12 / 208.20 / 193.91

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral technicals, RISK-ON macro, sideways market phase.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

436.98

Entry / SL / TP

436.98 / 430.43 / 454.46

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, leading sectors positive, positive tech signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,809.38

Entry / SL / TP

1,809.38 / 1,773.19 / 1,899.85

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, positive technicals, leading sectors.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

277,500

Entry / SL / TP

277,500 / 329,163 / 200,005

Confidence

38%

35→38

Bear market, uncertain technicals. Hold strategy.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

62,280

Entry / SL / TP

62,280 / 61,346 / 65,394

Confidence

80%

73→80

Bullish macro, GCS strategy aligned with sideways market.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,741.59

Entry / SL / TP

1,741.59 / 1,715.47 / 1,828.67

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal. Macro is positive, market is sideways.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0916

Entry / SL / TP

1.0916 / 1.1134 / 1.0370

Confidence

50%

45→50

Neutral TA, mixed market phase. Holding position.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.3400

Entry / SL / TP

77.3400 / 71.1528 / 89.7144

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI VWAP down trend, RSI neutral, market mixed

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/08 22:08HOLD157.42

ASML07/08 22:08BUY1,768.65

PBR07/08 22:08HOLD17.2400

VALE07/08 22:08HOLD14.0500

DOGE-USD07/08 22:08HOLD0.072590

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →