Daily Briefing · July 08, 2026 · US Market Open

New to the indicators or terms? See how UQ analysis works→

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 08, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.69

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

20 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.1

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-08

7,465.55

BULL

+0.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,439)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-08

61,938.47

SIDEWAYS

+0.2% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,822)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-08

17.13

Normal

+6.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Healthcare (XLV)

+7.4%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+7.0%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+5.5%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+2.5%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

+4.8%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+2.1%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

-0.9%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-4.7%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

-2.2%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-0.0%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

+1.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

743.97

Entry / SL / TP

743.97 / 732.81 / 773.73

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal. Macro RISK-ON, but US market SIDEWAYS. Gaussian centerline above.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

308.81

Entry / SL / TP

308.81 / 304.18 / 321.16

Confidence

50%

50→50

Hold signal in sideways market; RISK-ON macro; Tech sector weak.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

197.50

Entry / SL / TP

197.50 / 201.45 / 187.62

Confidence

36%

36→36

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro but sideways market phase & weak tech sector.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

435.48

Entry / SL / TP

435.48 / 428.94 / 452.89

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical signal HOLD, price above Gaussian centerline. Macro RISK-ON.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,778.11

Entry / SL / TP

1,778.11 / 1,742.55 / 1,867.02

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal, Gaussian center line up, RSI 60.4, RISK-ON macro.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

277,500

Entry / SL / TP

277,500 / 329,163 / 200,005

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal in BEAR market, EMA200 above indicates uncertainty.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

61,996

Entry / SL / TP

61,996 / 61,066 / 65,096

Confidence

50%

45→50

Macro RISK-ON but market sideways/bearish. Hold.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,734.26

Entry / SL / TP

1,734.26 / 1,708.25 / 1,820.97

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON, crypto SIDEWAYS. Technical HOLD, above Gaussian, neutral RSI.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0814

Entry / SL / TP

1.0814 / 1.1030 / 1.0273

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal, Gaussian below center, RSI 42.2. RISK-ON macro, but sideways market.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.2000

Entry / SL / TP

77.2000 / 71.0240 / 89.5520

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals, technical hold, sideways crypto

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/08 14:18SELL156.95

ASML07/08 14:17HOLD1,750.82

PBR07/08 14:17HOLD16.9800

VALE07/08 14:17HOLD14.2100

DOGE-USD07/08 14:16HOLD0.071760

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →