Daily Briefing · July 08, 2026 · Post-US Market [JP]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 08, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

売りシグナル: SOL-USD (76%)。ニュートラルなマクロ経済、サイドアウェイな仮想通貨、強い売りテクノロジーシグナル全体的なマクロ経済: ニュートラル (スコア +20)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.69

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.1

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

混合シグナル — バランスの取れたポジショニングを推奨

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-07

7,503.85

BULL

+0.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,436)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-07

63,270.66

SIDEWAYS

+2.3% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,869)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-07

16.13

Normal

+3.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

ヘルスケア (XLV)

+7.9%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

+7.5%×1.05

産業 (XLI)

+5.0%×1.05

公益事業 (XLU)

+3.7%×1.00

生活必需品 (XLP)

+2.4%×1.00

一般消費財 (XLY)

+2.4%×1.00

素材 (XLB)

+2.1%×1.00

不動産 (XLRE)

+1.3%×1.00

コミュニケーション (XLC)

-0.3%×0.90

エネルギー (XLE)

-4.6%×0.90

テクノロジー (XLK)

-0.5%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 1 · HOLD 9

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

747.71

Entry / SL / TP

747.71 / 728.22 / 786.69

Confidence

50%

50→50

ML VWAP up, market bullish, but strategy signals HOLD.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

310.66

Entry / SL / TP

310.66 / 295.13 / 341.73

Confidence

36%

40→36

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting stronger signals.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

196.93

Entry / SL / TP

196.93 / 183.63 / 203.58

Confidence

32%

36→32

MA alignment incomplete; pending market confirmation.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

432.57

Entry / SL / TP

432.57 / 397.96 / 501.78

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market, HOLD signal

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,813.61

Entry / SL / TP

1,813.61 / 1,693.34 / 2,054.14

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market, Hold signal

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

296,000

Entry / SL / TP

296,000 / 347,561 / 218,659

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, bear market, technicals suggest holding.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,387

Entry / SL / TP

63,387 / 62,436 / 66,556

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto phase. Technicals suggest hold.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,774.73

Entry / SL / TP

1,774.73 / 1,748.11 / 1,863.47

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, HOLD signal

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.1127

Entry / SL / TP

1.1127 / 1.0904 / 1.1683

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways crypto. HOLD as per strategy.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

80.7400

Entry / SL / TP

80.7400 / 91.8826 / 60.4783

Confidence

76%

76→76

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, strong sell tech signal

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/07 22:11HOLD162.77

ASML07/07 22:11HOLD1,747.28

PBR07/07 22:11HOLD16.6600

VALE07/07 22:11HOLD14.6900

SHIB-USD07/07 22:11BUY0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →