Daily Briefing · July 07, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 07, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Sell signals: SOL-USD (85%). SELL signal strong, confirms bearish technicals. Overall macro: NEUTRAL (score +20).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.61

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

Mixed signals — balanced positioning recommended

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-07

7,515.19

BULL

+1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,437)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-07

62,945.06

SIDEWAYS

+1.8% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,852)

ADX28 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-07

15.83

Normal

+1.7% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

Financials (XLF)

+8.2%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+8.1%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+4.8%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+4.3%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+3.6%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+3.3%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

+2.5%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+1.2%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.6%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-0.8%×0.90

Energy (XLE)

-5.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 1 · HOLD 9

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

748.72

Entry / SL / TP

748.72 / 729.66 / 786.83

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, Hold signal, mixed market phases

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

311.49

Entry / SL / TP

311.49 / 295.95 / 342.68

Confidence

32%

36→32

MA alignment incomplete; holding pending clearer signal.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

193.30

Entry / SL / TP

193.30 / 173.04 / 203.44

Confidence

24%

27→24

MA alignment incomplete. Waiting for confirmation.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

434.67

Entry / SL / TP

434.67 / 399.90 / 504.22

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market phase, HOLD signal

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,797.73

Entry / SL / TP

1,797.73 / 1,677.46 / 2,038.26

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, RSI neutral

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

296,000

Entry / SL / TP

296,000 / 347,561 / 218,659

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro/market, HOLD signal, holding cash.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,999

Entry / SL / TP

62,999 / 62,054 / 66,149

Confidence

50%

50→50

GCS HOLD on center line, RSI 49. Macro neutral, Crypto sideways.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,768.29

Entry / SL / TP

1,768.29 / 1,741.77 / 1,856.70

Confidence

50%

50→50

Macro neutral & Crypto sideways. Technicals HOLD, above Gaussian, RSI 55.1.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.1189

Entry / SL / TP

1.1189 / 1.0965 / 1.1748

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways crypto phase, technical hold.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

80.9700

Entry / SL / TP

80.9700 / 92.0498 / 60.4778

Confidence

85%

85→85

SELL signal strong, confirms bearish technicals.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/07 14:17HOLD164.30

ASML07/07 14:17HOLD1,719.30

PBR07/07 14:17HOLD16.6350

VALE07/07 14:17HOLD14.8400

SHIB-USD07/07 14:17BUY0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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