Daily Briefing · July 07, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-TW]

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 07, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

買入訊號：SPY (88%), TSM (82%), BTC-USD (86%)。RISK-ON 宏觀，BULL 市場，強勢類股，AI_VWAP UP RISK-ON 宏觀，BULLISH 美國市場，強勁的技術指標。整體宏觀：RISK-ON (分數 +30)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.61

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

24 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

風險偏好升高 — 成長型資產受青睞

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-06

7,537.43

BULL

+1.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,430)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-06

64,389.71

SIDEWAYS

+3.9% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,946)

ADX29 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-06

15.57

Normal

-3.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+8.0%×1.05

醫療保健 (XLV)

+7.0%×1.05

工業 (XLI)

+5.6%×1.05

材料 (XLB)

+1.1%×1.00

公用事業 (XLU)

+3.8%×1.00

消費必需品 (XLP)

+3.2%×1.00

消費非必需品 (XLY)

+0.8%×1.00

通訊 (XLC)

-2.3%×1.00

房地產 (XLRE)

+0.6%×0.90

科技 (XLK)

-4.9%×0.90

能源 (XLE)

-8.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

751.28

Entry / SL / TP

751.28 / 731.23 / 791.39

Confidence

88%

80→88

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, strong sectors, AI_VWAP UP

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

312.66

Entry / SL / TP

312.66 / 297.03 / 343.93

Confidence

36%

36→36

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting clearer signal.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

195.55

Entry / SL / TP

195.55 / 179.16 / 203.75

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for stronger signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

451.79

Entry / SL / TP

451.79 / 415.65 / 524.08

Confidence

82%

75→82

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH US market, strong technicals

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,805.68

Entry / SL / TP

1,805.68 / 1,682.75 / 2,051.54

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: Bullish macro/market but bearish tech.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

318,000

Entry / SL / TP

318,000 / 368,604 / 242,094

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bear market, uncertain technicals, holding cash.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

64,298

Entry / SL / TP

64,298 / 63,334 / 67,513

Confidence

86%

78→86

RISK-ON macro, bullish crypto, HOLD signal

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,812.18

Entry / SL / TP

1,812.18 / 1,785.00 / 1,902.79

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro, positive market signals, strong TA.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

1.1505

Entry / SL / TP

1.1505 / 1.2080 / 1.1275

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, GCS strategy aligned with crypto sideways.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

82.6000

Entry / SL / TP

82.6000 / 75.9920 / 95.8160

Confidence

50%

45→50

Macro bullish, but crypto sideways & tech HOLD

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/06 22:08HOLD160.49

ASML07/06 22:08HOLD1,825.07

PBR07/06 22:08HOLD16.2600

VALE07/06 22:08HOLD15.0900

SHIB-USD07/06 22:08BUY0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →