Daily Briefing · July 06, 2026 · Post-US Market [JP]

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 06, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

買いシグナル: SPY (77%), TSM (91%), XRP-USD (82%)。売りシグナル: SOL-USD (94%)。RISK-ON マクロ、ポジティブなテクニカル、リードセクター。RISK-ON マクロ、横ばい市場、強いテクニカル。全体のマクロ: RISK-ON (スコア +30)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.67

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

23 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

リスク選好度の上昇 — 成長資産が好まれる

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-02

7,483.24

BULL

+0.7% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,433)

ADX19 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-05

63,006.41

SIDEWAYS

+1.7% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,979)

ADX31 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-02

16.15

Normal

-2.7% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

ヘルスケア (XLV)

+11.5%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

+9.7%×1.05

産業 (XLI)

+5.9%×1.05

公益事業 (XLU)

+5.4%×1.00

生活必需品 (XLP)

+4.2%×1.00

素材 (XLB)

+1.1%×1.00

不動産 (XLRE)

+3.6%×1.00

一般消費財 (XLY)

+0.5%×1.00

コミュニケーション (XLC)

-2.0%×0.90

テクノロジー (XLK)

-7.9%×0.90

エネルギー (XLE)

-8.7%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 1 · HOLD 6

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

744.78

Entry / SL / TP

744.78 / 774.57 / 733.61

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, positive technicals, leading sectors.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

308.63

Entry / SL / TP

308.63 / 304.00 / 320.98

Confidence

50%

50→50

Tech HOLD signal, macro RISK-ON, market sideways, Technology weak sector.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

194.83

Entry / SL / TP

194.83 / 198.73 / 185.09

Confidence

41%

41→41

Macro RISK-ON but tech weak, holding despite HOLD signal.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

434.16

Entry / SL / TP

434.16 / 427.65 / 451.53

Confidence

91%

83→91

RISK-ON macro, sideways market, strong technicals.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,763.36

Entry / SL / TP

1,763.36 / 1,728.09 / 1,851.53

Confidence

55%

50→55

RISK-ON macro, mixed market phases, HOLD signal.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

309,500

Entry / SL / TP

309,500 / 360,612 / 232,832

Confidence

44%

40→44

Bearish KR market, uncertain technicals, HOLD strategy.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,977

Entry / SL / TP

62,977 / 66,126 / 62,032

Confidence

44%

40→44

Neutral TA, mixed market, HOLD signal

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,785.79

Entry / SL / TP

1,785.79 / 1,759.00 / 1,875.08

Confidence

54%

49→54

Neutral macro/market phase with technical HOLD signal.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

1.1454

Entry / SL / TP

1.1454 / 1.1225 / 1.2027

Confidence

82%

75→82

RISK-ON macro, GCS bullish, safe signals.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

81.7500

Entry / SL / TP

81.7500 / 93.1498 / 60.9425

Confidence

94%

85→94

Technical SELL signal overrides RISK-ON macro, sideways market.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/05 22:07HOLD162.59

ASML07/05 22:07SELL1,769.32

PBR07/05 22:07HOLD16.1100

VALE07/05 22:07HOLD14.9900

SHIB-USD07/05 22:07BUY0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →