Daily Briefing · August 26, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 26, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (82%), NVDA (73%), MELI (97%). RISK-ON macro, leading sectors, GCS technicals positive. RISK-ON macro, AI_VWAP bullish trend, positive market. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.47

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.78

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

65 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.1

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-26

7,687.08

SIDEWAYS

-0.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,687)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-26

78,430.23

BULL

+13.8% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (68,917)

ADX36 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-26

15.51

Normal

+0.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+6.2%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+4.8%×1.05

Materials (XLB)

+4.4%×1.05

Communication (XLC)

+3.3%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

-1.3%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-1.2%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+2.8%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+5.4%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

+9.6%×0.90

Industrials (XLI)

+2.2%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-3.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 4 · SELL 0 · HOLD 6

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

766.82

Entry / SL / TP

766.82 / 755.32 / 797.49

Confidence

82%

75→82

RISK-ON macro, leading sectors, GCS technicals positive.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

311.95

Entry / SL / TP

311.95 / 316.63 / 299.48

Confidence

45%

45→45

Mixed signals, HOLD on technicals, sideways market

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

212.12

Entry / SL / TP

212.12 / 199.83 / 236.70

Confidence

73%

74→73

RISK-ON macro, AI_VWAP bullish trend, positive market.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

417.92

Entry / SL / TP

417.92 / 401.20 / 424.19

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal, RSI near 50. Risk-on macro.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,996.86

Entry / SL / TP

1,996.86 / 1,956.92 / 2,096.70

Confidence

97%

88→97

RISK-ON macro, GCS BUY signal, strong sectors, bullish TA

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

261,500

Entry / SL / TP

261,500 / 265,422 / 251,040

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal overrides positive macro. Conservative stance.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

78,533

Entry / SL / TP

78,533 / 74,607 / 86,387

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical conditions not met for BUY. Macro/market bullish.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,458.61

Entry / SL / TP

2,458.61 / 2,421.73 / 2,581.54

Confidence

90%

82→90

Bullish macro/market, GCS BUY signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.3970

Entry / SL / TP

1.3970 / 1.2852 / 1.6205

Confidence

33%

30→33

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, RSI high, risk-on macro

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

96.8100

Entry / SL / TP

96.8100 / 89.3401 / 111.75

Confidence

61%

55→61

Bullish macro/market, but technical HOLD signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/26 14:08BUY210.74

ASML08/26 14:08BUY1,748.85

PBR08/26 14:07BUY17.8050

VALE08/26 14:07HOLD15.3500

SHIB-USD08/26 14:07BUY0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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