Daily Briefing · August 22, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 22, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinais de compra: TSM (77%), MELI (88%), 005930.KS (85%). Macro RISK-ON, setores líderes suportam sinal de COMPRA. Macro RISK-ON, TA altista, fase de mercado positiva. Macro geral: RISK-ON (pontuação +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.50

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.86

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

72 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

98.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Apetite por risco elevado — ativos de crescimento favorecidos

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-21

7,674.37

BULL

+0.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,644)

ADX19 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-21

78,428.79

BULL

+20.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (65,374)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-21

15.13

Normal

-5.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Saúde (XLV)

+7.4%×1.05

Energia (XLE)

+6.7%×1.05

Materiais (XLB)

+4.5%×1.05

Comunicação (XLC)

+4.8%×1.00

Consumo Básico (XLP)

+2.2%×1.00

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

+7.9%×1.00

Tecnologia (XLK)

+4.2%×1.00

Imobiliário (XLRE)

-1.9%×1.00

Financeiro (XLF)

+2.1%×0.90

Industrial (XLI)

-1.3%×0.90

Utilidades (XLU)

-7.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 0 · HOLD 4

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

765.72

Entry / SL / TP

765.72 / 754.23 / 796.35

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal. Risk-on macro.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

309.35

Entry / SL / TP

309.35 / 296.98 / 313.99

Confidence

42%

38→42

Neutral tech sector, sideways market, strong macro.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

214.72

Entry / SL / TP

214.72 / 202.19 / 239.77

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal. Sideways market.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

418.95

Entry / SL / TP

418.95 / 435.71 / 412.67

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, leading sectors support BUY signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,922.73

Entry / SL / TP

1,922.73 / 1,884.28 / 2,018.87

Confidence

88%

80→88

RISK-ON macro, bullish TA, positive market phase.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

BUY

281,500

Entry / SL / TP

281,500 / 292,760 / 277,278

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, positive market, leading sectors align

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

78,508

Entry / SL / TP

78,508 / 74,569 / 86,343

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD: MTF conditions not met. Risk-on macro positive.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,527.13

Entry / SL / TP

2,527.13 / 2,489.22 / 2,653.49

Confidence

87%

79→87

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto phase, bullish TA signal

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.4317

Entry / SL / TP

1.4317 / 1.3172 / 1.6608

Confidence

100%

95→100

Bullish macro, market, and TA signals.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

94.0700

Entry / SL / TP

94.0700 / 88.3375 / 105.54

Confidence

73%

66→73

Bullish macro/market align with strategy. Strong tech.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/21 22:07BUY218.68

ASML08/21 22:07BUY1,763.76

PBR08/21 22:07BUY19.1500

VALE08/21 22:07HOLD14.5900

SHIB-USD08/21 22:07BUY0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →