Daily Briefing · August 21, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 21, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinyal beli: NVDA (90%), MELI (86%), ETH-USD (77%). Makro bullish, sektor teknologi terdepan, tren naik AI_VWAP yang kuat. Makro bullish, pasar sideways, sektor kuat, sinyal teknis bullish. Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.50

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.82

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

—

No data0

Fear & Greed

62 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

98.9

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan disukai

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-20

7,641.16

BULL

+0.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,631)

ADX20 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-20

72,736.66

BULL

+12.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,576)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-20

16.01

Normal

+7.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+7.4%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+6.8%×1.05

Teknologi (XLK)

+2.6%×1.05

Komunikasi (XLC)

+1.4%×1.00

Konsumen Diskresioner (XLY)

+7.3%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+4.2%×1.00

Konsumen Primer (XLP)

+2.5%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

+2.0%×1.00

Real Estat (XLRE)

+0.2%×0.90

Utilitas (XLU)

-5.2%×0.90

Industri (XLI)

-1.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

762.60

Entry / SL / TP

762.60 / 751.16 / 793.10

Confidence

66%

60→66

Bullish macro & leading sectors support HOLD.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

311.30

Entry / SL / TP

311.30 / 298.85 / 315.97

Confidence

52%

45→52

GCS HOLD signal, below center line, RSI neutral

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

216.85

Entry / SL / TP

216.85 / 204.01 / 242.53

Confidence

90%

78→90

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, strong AI_VWAP uptrend.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

416.00

Entry / SL / TP

416.00 / 422.24 / 399.36

Confidence

55%

50→55

Sideways market, HOLD signal, risk-on macro.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,921.96

Entry / SL / TP

1,921.96 / 1,883.52 / 2,018.06

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro, sideways market, strong sectors, bullish TA signal.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

271,000

Entry / SL / TP

271,000 / 275,065 / 260,160

Confidence

55%

50→55

Sideways KR market, technical HOLD signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

72,607

Entry / SL / TP

72,607 / 69,150 / 86,432

Confidence

38%

35→38

MTF conditions not met; HOLD signal from technicals.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,317.65

Entry / SL / TP

2,317.65 / 2,282.89 / 2,433.53

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro/market, positive TA, GCS strategy alignment.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.2582

Entry / SL / TP

1.2582 / 1.1650 / 1.4446

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro/market, AI VWAP positive bias, HOLD tech.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

87.3700

Entry / SL / TP

87.3700 / 80.3804 / 101.35

Confidence

100%

95→100

Bullish alignment: Macro, Market, Tech. Strong BUY signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/20 22:07BUY217.09

ASML08/20 22:07BUY1,750.31

PBR08/20 22:07BUY19.0100

VALE08/20 22:07HOLD14.2300

SHIB-USD08/20 22:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →