Daily Briefing · August 20, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 20, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (82%), AAPL (88%), NVDA (85%). RISK-ON, BULL market, strong sectors, VWAP bullish Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP BUY signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.46

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.79

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

62 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

98.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-20

7,685.46

BULL

+0.7% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,634)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-20

71,580.68

BULL

+10.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,519)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-20

15.55

Normal

+4.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+8.5%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+8.2%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+2.9%×1.05

Technology (XLK)

+2.9%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+1.8%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

+4.5%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+7.7%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+2.6%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.1%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-4.5%×0.90

Industrials (XLI)

-0.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 7 · SELL 0 · HOLD 3

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

766.13

Entry / SL / TP

766.13 / 752.53 / 793.33

Confidence

82%

75→82

RISK-ON, BULL market, strong sectors, VWAP bullish

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

317.15

Entry / SL / TP

317.15 / 302.43 / 346.59

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP BUY signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

217.56

Entry / SL / TP

217.56 / 204.94 / 242.80

Confidence

85%

77→85

AI_VWAP bullish, RISK-ON, BULLISH market. Confident.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

414.12

Entry / SL / TP

414.12 / 386.53 / 469.32

Confidence

92%

84→92

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, positive tech signals

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,893.10

Entry / SL / TP

1,893.10 / 1,757.84 / 2,163.62

Confidence

94%

85→94

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

271,000

Entry / SL / TP

271,000 / 275,065 / 260,160

Confidence

50%

45→50

Macro RISK-ON, but TA shows HOLD signal. Sideways.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

71,722

Entry / SL / TP

71,722 / 68,348 / 85,219

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions unmet, holding strategy.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,281.73

Entry / SL / TP

2,281.73 / 2,247.50 / 2,395.82

Confidence

86%

78→86

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase, positive TA signals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.2215

Entry / SL / TP

1.2215 / 1.1451 / 1.3744

Confidence

50%

45→50

HOLD: Positive macro/market but weak technicals. High RSI.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

86.5400

Entry / SL / TP

86.5400 / 79.6168 / 100.39

Confidence

100%

91→100

Bullish macro & market, strong TA buy signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/20 14:07HOLD216.15

ASML08/20 14:07HOLD1,757.81

PBR08/20 14:07HOLD19.0300

VALE08/20 14:07HOLD13.7950

SHIB-USD08/20 14:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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