Daily Briefing · August 20, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 20, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: AAPL (81%), NVDA (81%), TSM (94%). اقتصاد كلي/سوق صاعد، AI_VWAP شراء، قطاعات قوية. اقتصاد كلي للمخاطرة، سوق صاعد، إشارة صعودية لـ AI_VWAP. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: للمخاطرة (درجة +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.46

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.79

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

46 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

98.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-19

7,707.98

BULL

+1.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,620)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-19

69,680.80

BULL

+8.7% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,101)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-19

14.89

Low

-6.0% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

+10.2%×1.05

الطاقة (XLE)

+7.4%×1.05

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

+4.0%×1.05

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

+2.6%×1.00

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+1.9%×1.00

الاتصالات (XLC)

+1.2%×1.00

المالية (XLF)

+2.5%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

+3.4%×1.00

الصناعات (XLI)

+1.7%×0.90

العقارات (XLRE)

-0.5%×0.90

المرافق (XLU)

-4.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 0 · HOLD 4

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

769.06

Entry / SL / TP

769.06 / 754.91 / 797.36

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD strategy signal, risk-on macro, BULL market.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

316.83

Entry / SL / TP

316.83 / 301.53 / 347.44

Confidence

81%

74→81

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP BUY, strong sectors.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

217.56

Entry / SL / TP

217.56 / 204.38 / 243.92

Confidence

81%

74→81

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, AI_VWAP bullish signal

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

412.09

Entry / SL / TP

412.09 / 383.59 / 469.08

Confidence

94%

85→94

Bullish macro/market, strong tech. AI_VWAP upward trend.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,908.65

Entry / SL / TP

1,908.65 / 1,768.15 / 2,189.64

Confidence

80%

73→80

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, bullish tech signal

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

BUY

247,500

Entry / SL / TP

247,500 / 243,788 / 257,400

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, leading sectors, positive market phase.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

69,420

Entry / SL / TP

69,420 / 66,331 / 81,777

Confidence

38%

35→38

MTF conditions not met, holding despite bullish macro

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,266.45

Entry / SL / TP

2,266.45 / 2,232.45 / 2,357.11

Confidence

98%

89→98

Bullish macro/market & strong GCS BUY signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.1295

Entry / SL / TP

1.1295 / 1.0671 / 1.2543

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI_VWAP shows downtrend, RSI is neutral, HOLD recommended.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

86.0000

Entry / SL / TP

86.0000 / 81.0047 / 95.9907

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD, mixed tech signals. Await clearer trend.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/19 22:07HOLD215.60

ASML08/19 22:07HOLD1,751.73

PBR08/19 22:06HOLD18.5400

VALE08/19 22:06HOLD13.9000

SHIB-USD08/19 22:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →