Daily Briefing · August 19, 2026 · Post-US Market [VI]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 19, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +45

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Tín hiệu mua: SPY (81%), AAPL (90%), NVDA (77%). RISK-ON, thị trường BULL, các ngành mạnh, VWAP tăng. Kinh tế vĩ mô/thị trường tăng, AI_VWAP tăng, các ngành dẫn đầu trung lập. Kinh tế vĩ mô tổng thể: RISK-ON (điểm +45).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +45RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.52

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.85

Normal+5

CPI YoY

—

No data0

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

41 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.7

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +45

RISK-ON

Mức độ chấp nhận rủi ro tăng cao — ưu tiên các tài sản tăng trưởng

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-18

7,691.76

BULL

+1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,609)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-18

64,550.89

BULL

+1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (63,847)

ADX13 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-18

15.84

Normal

+4.3% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Năng lượng (XLE)

+8.8%×1.05

Chăm sóc sức khỏe (XLV)

+5.9%×1.05

Công nghiệp (XLI)

+2.8%×1.05

Công nghệ (XLK)

+2.7%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng tùy ý (XLY)

+1.3%×1.00

Truyền thông (XLC)

-0.3%×1.00

Tài chính (XLF)

+3.1%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng thiết yếu (XLP)

+1.8%×1.00

Vật liệu (XLB)

+3.4%×0.90

Tiện ích (XLU)

-2.0%×0.90

Bất động sản (XLRE)

-1.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 8 · SELL 0 · HOLD 2

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

767.45

Entry / SL / TP

767.45 / 752.98 / 796.39

Confidence

81%

74→81

RISK-ON, BULL market, strong sectors, VWAP bullish.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

310.03

Entry / SL / TP

310.03 / 295.04 / 340.01

Confidence

90%

82→90

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP bullish, leading sectors neutral.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

219.74

Entry / SL / TP

219.74 / 206.49 / 246.25

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend, HOLD signal

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

413.41

Entry / SL / TP

413.41 / 384.53 / 471.18

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend, strong sectors

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,779.14

Entry / SL / TP

1,779.14 / 1,650.48 / 2,036.46

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend, strong sectors

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

BUY

268,500

Entry / SL / TP

268,500 / 264,472 / 279,240

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, sideways KR market, GCS bullish signal

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,524

Entry / SL / TP

64,524 / 62,083 / 74,288

Confidence

44%

40→44

MTF conditions not met; HOLD signal received.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,911.22

Entry / SL / TP

1,911.22 / 1,882.55 / 2,006.78

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON, bullish market, above Gausian, RSI > 50

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

0.999800

Entry / SL / TP

0.999800 / 0.953600 / 1.0922

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD overrides bullish signals.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

76.9200

Entry / SL / TP

76.9200 / 73.1113 / 84.5373

Confidence

75%

68→75

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market phase, positive outlook.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/18 22:06HOLD210.47

ASML08/18 22:06HOLD1,802.98

PBR08/18 22:06HOLD18.1800

VALE08/18 22:06HOLD13.6800

SHIB-USD08/18 22:06HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →