Daily Briefing · August 18, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 18, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +45

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: SPY (89%)، AAPL (92%)، NVDA (100%). AI_VWAP صعودي، الاقتصاد الكلي يميل إلى المخاطرة (RISK-ON)، سوق صاعد (BULL)، قيادة قطاع التكنولوجيا. الاقتصاد الكلي/السوق صعودي، قطاع التكنولوجيا الرائد، إشارة شراء AI_VWAP. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: يميل إلى المخاطرة (RISK-ON) (النتيجة +45).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +45RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.53

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.85

Normal+5

CPI YoY

—

No data0

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

31 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.6

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +45

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-17

7,745.06

BULL

+1.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,600)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-17

64,346.99

BULL

+0.8% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (63,807)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-17

15.19

Normal

+6.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+8.3%×1.05

الطاقة (XLE)

+8.0%×1.05

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

+4.9%×1.05

الصناعات (XLI)

+4.6%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

+4.4%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

+1.9%×1.00

الاتصالات (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

المالية (XLF)

+2.8%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

-0.2%×0.90

العقارات (XLRE)

-1.3%×0.90

المرافق (XLU)

-1.7%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 0 · HOLD 4

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

772.67

Entry / SL / TP

772.67 / 757.97 / 802.06

Confidence

89%

81→89

AI_VWAP bullish, RISK-ON macro, BULL market, tech leadership

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

305.59

Entry / SL / TP

305.59 / 290.35 / 336.06

Confidence

92%

80→92

Bullish macro/market, leading tech sector, AI_VWAP buy signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

225.01

Entry / SL / TP

225.01 / 211.71 / 251.61

Confidence

100%

95→100

Strong BUY signal, RISK-ON macro, leading tech sector

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

430.97

Entry / SL / TP

430.97 / 402.97 / 486.97

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro/market, strong tech sector, positive VWAP.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,787.57

Entry / SL / TP

1,787.57 / 1,657.44 / 2,047.83

Confidence

82%

75→82

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

274,500

Entry / SL / TP

274,500 / 285,480 / 270,382

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal from technicals, capped confidence.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,294

Entry / SL / TP

64,294 / 61,823 / 74,178

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD due to unmet MTF conditions.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,904.53

Entry / SL / TP

1,904.53 / 1,875.96 / 1,999.76

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro/market, but HOLD TA signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0007

Entry / SL / TP

1.0007 / 0.953206 / 1.0957

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD, weak technicals, risk-on macro

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

75.8400

Entry / SL / TP

75.8400 / 72.0612 / 83.3976

Confidence

66%

60→66

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market phase, strong sectors. AI_VWAP signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/17 22:07HOLD207.84

ASML08/17 22:07HOLD1,883.12

PBR08/17 22:07HOLD18.2500

VALE08/17 22:07HOLD13.7500

SHIB-USD08/17 22:07HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →