Daily Briefing · August 14, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 14, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (91%), AAPL (92%), NVDA (81%). RISK-ON macro, BULL market, Tech leading. BUY signal. Bullish macro, leading tech sector, AI_VWAP BUY signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.48

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.76

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

29 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.5

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-14

7,806.55

BULL

+2.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,586)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-14

62,661.83

BEAR

-2.0% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (63,928)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

VIX · data 2026-08-14

14.58

Low

-0.3% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Technology (XLK)

+8.6%×1.05

Energy (XLE)

+7.2%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+4.0%×1.05

Materials (XLB)

+4.0%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+3.6%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+3.1%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.1%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.6%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+3.5%×0.90

Real Estate (XLRE)

-0.5%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-2.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 7 · SELL 0 · HOLD 3

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

778.44

Entry / SL / TP

778.44 / 763.62 / 808.08

Confidence

91%

83→91

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, Tech leading. BUY signal.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

306.12

Entry / SL / TP

306.12 / 290.57 / 337.21

Confidence

92%

80→92

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, AI_VWAP BUY signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

225.82

Entry / SL / TP

225.82 / 212.04 / 253.38

Confidence

81%

70→81

Bullish macro/market, strong tech sector, VWAP uptrend

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

427.79

Entry / SL / TP

427.79 / 399.20 / 484.95

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro/market, leading tech sector, positive trend.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,858.47

Entry / SL / TP

1,858.47 / 1,730.18 / 2,115.04

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro/market, leading tech, VWAP uptrend.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

BUY

274,500

Entry / SL / TP

274,500 / 285,480 / 270,382

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, leading sectors, neutral tech signal

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,581

Entry / SL / TP

62,581 / 59,452 / 63,520

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal; RSI < 50; Below Gaussian centerline

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,867.20

Entry / SL / TP

1,867.20 / 1,839.19 / 1,960.56

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, strong tech. GCS HOLD, but bullish.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0016

Entry / SL / TP

1.0016 / 1.0216 / 0.951520

Confidence

55%

50→55

Hold: Sideways market phase, weak TA signal. Macro is bullish.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

75.2400

Entry / SL / TP

75.2400 / 71.2339 / 83.2521

Confidence

53%

48→53

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, but SIDEWAYS crypto & HOLD TA

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/14 14:06HOLD208.66

ASML08/14 14:06HOLD1,846.20

PBR08/14 14:06HOLD18.0600

VALE08/14 14:06SELL13.6201

SHIB-USD08/14 14:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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