Daily Briefing · August 14, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 14, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinyal beli: SPY (88%), AAPL (90%), NVDA (89%). Makro BULLISH, sektor teknologi/energi kuat, tren naik AI_VWAP. Makro/pasar BULLISH, sektor teknologi terdepan. AI_VWAP BULLISH. Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.48

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.76

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

—

No data0

Fear & Greed

29 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan disukai

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-13

7,798.99

BULL

+3.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,569)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-13

63,454.23

SIDEWAYS

-0.9% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (64,013)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-08-13

14.63

Low

+0.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Teknologi (XLK)

+7.5%×1.05

Energi (XLE)

+7.1%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+4.1%×1.05

Industri (XLI)

+3.1%×1.00

Konsumen Diskresioner (XLY)

+0.9%×1.00

Komunikasi (XLC)

-0.7%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+2.8%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

+2.7%×1.00

Konsumen Pokok (XLP)

+0.2%×0.90

Real Estat (XLRE)

+1.3%×0.90

Utilitas (XLU)

-3.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 4 · SELL 0 · HOLD 6

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

777.88

Entry / SL / TP

777.88 / 762.06 / 809.52

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro, strong tech/energy sectors, AI_VWAP uptrend.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

305.26

Entry / SL / TP

305.26 / 288.86 / 338.06

Confidence

90%

78→90

Bullish macro/market, leading tech sector. AI_VWAP bullish.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

225.30

Entry / SL / TP

225.30 / 210.84 / 254.22

Confidence

89%

77→89

Bullish macro/market, tech leading, AI_VWAP bullish signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

430.49

Entry / SL / TP

430.49 / 400.55 / 490.36

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro/market, technicals HOLD

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,828.25

Entry / SL / TP

1,828.25 / 1,697.29 / 2,090.18

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, market phase, leading sectors & tech.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

268,000

Entry / SL / TP

268,000 / 272,020 / 257,280

Confidence

55%

50→55

Sideways market, bullish macro. HOLD.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,467

Entry / SL / TP

63,467 / 60,294 / 64,419

Confidence

41%

37→41

GCS HOLD signal, below center line, RSI weak.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,889.57

Entry / SL / TP

1,889.57 / 1,861.23 / 1,984.05

Confidence

33%

30→33

Mixed signals, technical HOLD, no strong directional bias.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0083

Entry / SL / TP

1.0083 / 1.0285 / 0.957885

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals; technical HOLD, sideways market phase.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

76.2300

Entry / SL / TP

76.2300 / 72.0807 / 84.5286

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal despite RISK-ON macro.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/13 22:07HOLD209.28

ASML08/13 22:07HOLD1,847.90

PBR08/13 22:07HOLD17.8900

VALE08/13 22:07SELL13.8000

SHIB-USD08/13 22:06HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →