Daily Briefing · August 13, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 13, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

买入信号：SPY (86%), NVDA (85%), TSM (77%)。RISK-ON, 牛市市场, 强劲板块, VWAP 上涨趋势。看涨宏观与市场, AI_VWAP 看涨信号。整体宏观：RISK-ON (评分 +40)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.48

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.81

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

风险偏好升高 — 看好成长型资产

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-12

7,748.50

BULL

+2.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,555)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-12

63,404.41

SIDEWAYS

-1.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (64,046)

ADX11 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-08-12

14.55

Low

-4.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

能源 (XLE)

+8.0%×1.05

医疗保健 (XLV)

+6.4%×1.05

材料 (XLB)

+4.1%×1.05

科技 (XLK)

+4.0%×1.00

工业 (XLI)

+3.2%×1.00

非必需消费品 (XLY)

+0.8%×1.00

通讯 (XLC)

-1.1%×1.00

金融 (XLF)

+2.4%×1.00

必需消费品 (XLP)

+1.9%×0.90

房地产 (XLRE)

+0.0%×0.90

公用事业 (XLU)

-3.0%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 0 · HOLD 4

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

772.49

Entry / SL / TP

772.49 / 756.52 / 804.43

Confidence

86%

78→86

RISK-ON, Bullish market, strong sectors, VWAP uptrend

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

302.25

Entry / SL / TP

302.25 / 285.20 / 336.35

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical signal HOLD, strong macro/market.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

224.09

Entry / SL / TP

224.09 / 209.06 / 254.15

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro & market, AI_VWAP bullish signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

429.15

Entry / SL / TP

429.15 / 398.09 / 491.28

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, market, tech. AI_VWAP BUY signal.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,828.29

Entry / SL / TP

1,828.29 / 1,693.94 / 2,096.98

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase, strong sector leads.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

255,500

Entry / SL / TP

255,500 / 259,332 / 245,280

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways market, GCS HOLD signal, RSI near 50.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,409

Entry / SL / TP

63,409 / 60,239 / 64,360

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal; Crypto sideways; Risk-on macro

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,877.51

Entry / SL / TP

1,877.51 / 1,849.35 / 1,971.39

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, sideways crypto, GCS strategy bullish. High confidence.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0042

Entry / SL / TP

1.0042 / 1.0243 / 0.953990

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals, technicals bearish, HOLD strategy

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

75.4800

Entry / SL / TP

75.4800 / 71.2209 / 83.9982

Confidence

75%

68→75

RISK-ON macro, sideways crypto, positive indicators

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/12 22:07HOLD204.15

ASML08/12 22:07HOLD1,810.07

PBR08/12 22:06HOLD17.7600

VALE08/12 22:06HOLD14.4200

SHIB-USD08/12 22:06HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →