Daily Briefing · August 11, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 11, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (100%), AAPL (88%), NVDA (90%). Bullish macro, market, and AI_VWAP signal. Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend. Override HOLD. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.47

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.83

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

29 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-11

7,763.34

BULL

+2.8% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,548)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-11

64,133.72

BULL

-0.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Below (64,157)

ADX10 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-11

15.56

Normal

+0.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Healthcare (XLV)

+6.6%×1.05

Energy (XLE)

+6.3%×1.05

Materials (XLB)

+5.6%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+3.6%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+3.4%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

+1.6%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.3%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+3.3%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.6%×0.90

Real Estate (XLRE)

-0.4%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-4.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

773.83

Entry / SL / TP

773.83 / 757.78 / 805.94

Confidence

100%

91→100

Bullish macro, market, and AI_VWAP signal.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

306.35

Entry / SL / TP

306.35 / 289.18 / 340.69

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend. Override HOLD.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

219.71

Entry / SL / TP

219.71 / 204.88 / 249.35

Confidence

90%

82→90

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP trend, strong sectors.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

422.92

Entry / SL / TP

422.92 / 391.32 / 486.11

Confidence

91%

83→91

Bullish macro, market phase, leading sectors, and tech.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,902.55

Entry / SL / TP

1,902.55 / 1,781.32 / 2,145.00

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro, market, and tech. AI_VWAP trend positive.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

239,500

Entry / SL / TP

239,500 / 243,092 / 229,920

Confidence

42%

38→42

Macro risk-on, but tech is neutral. Holding.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

64,136

Entry / SL / TP

64,136 / 63,174 / 67,343

Confidence

53%

48→53

Mixed signals: Macro RISK-ON, but TA is HOLD, mixed market phase.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,887.71

Entry / SL / TP

1,887.71 / 1,859.39 / 1,982.10

Confidence

46%

42→46

Strategy HOLD, RSI neutral, macro RISK-ON, mixed market

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0093

Entry / SL / TP

1.0093 / 1.0295 / 0.958835

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal, RSI low, below centerline.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

75.9900

Entry / SL / TP

75.9900 / 71.8076 / 84.3547

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI VWAP downtrend, RSI neutral. Macro risk-on.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/11 14:07HOLD209.47

ASML08/11 14:07SELL1,810.64

PBR08/11 14:07HOLD18.1700

VALE08/11 14:07BUY14.8050

SHIB-USD08/11 14:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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