Daily Briefing · August 11, 2026 · Post-US Market [TR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 11, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +35

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Alım sinyalleri: SPY (84%), AAPL (91%), NVDA (85%). AI_VWAP BUY sinyali, RİSK-ALMA (RISK-ON) makro ve BOĞA (BULL) piyasası ile uyumlu. RİSK-ALMA (RISK-ON) makro, BOĞA (BULL) piyasası, AI_VWAP yükseliş sinyali. Genel makro: RİSK-ALMA (RISK-ON) (skor +35).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +35RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.47

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.83

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

30 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

—

No data0

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 = +35

RISK-ON

Risk iştahı yükseldi — büyüme varlıkları tercih ediliyor

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-10

7,753.11

BULL

+2.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,537)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-10

63,920.65

BULL

-0.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Below (64,256)

ADX11 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-10

15.46

Normal

+3.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Materials leading

Materyaller (XLB)

+5.1%×1.05

Sağlık Hizmetleri (XLV)

+4.4%×1.05

Tüketici Ürünleri (XLY)

+3.1%×1.05

Teknoloji (XLK)

+2.8%×1.00

Sanayi (XLI)

+2.4%×1.00

İletişim (XLC)

+0.2%×1.00

Enerji (XLE)

+6.1%×1.00

Finans (XLF)

+3.1%×1.00

Temel Tüketim Ürünleri (XLP)

+0.4%×0.90

Gayrimenkul (XLRE)

-0.7%×0.90

Kamu Hizmetleri (XLU)

-5.7%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

773.03

Entry / SL / TP

773.03 / 756.09 / 806.90

Confidence

84%

76→84

AI_VWAP BUY signal aligns with RISK-ON macro & BULL market.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

308.26

Entry / SL / TP

308.26 / 290.38 / 344.02

Confidence

91%

83→91

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, AI_VWAP bullish signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

217.55

Entry / SL / TP

217.55 / 202.30 / 248.04

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, positive market phase, strong tech.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

418.47

Entry / SL / TP

418.47 / 385.29 / 484.83

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD, mixed macro/market. Risk-reward 2.0.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,824.34

Entry / SL / TP

1,824.34 / 1,705.97 / 2,061.08

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP bullish signal, leading sectors.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

230,000

Entry / SL / TP

230,000 / 276,142 / 160,786

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals. Holding as per strategy in BEAR market.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,902

Entry / SL / TP

63,902 / 62,943 / 67,097

Confidence

55%

50→55

Hold as per technicals; cautious due to sideways crypto.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,871.11

Entry / SL / TP

1,871.11 / 1,843.04 / 1,964.67

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, GCS strategy aligned with US bull market.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0096

Entry / SL / TP

1.0096 / 1.0298 / 0.959120

Confidence

44%

40→44

Sideways market phase, technical HOLD signal.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

76.1000

Entry / SL / TP

76.1000 / 71.7146 / 84.8707

Confidence

50%

45→50

Tech HOLD, sideways crypto. Risk-on macro.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/10 22:06HOLD208.55

ASML08/10 22:06HOLD1,733.48

PBR08/10 22:06HOLD18.3300

VALE08/10 22:06BUY14.8900

SHIB-USD08/10 22:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →