Daily Briefing · August 06, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 06, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +35

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: SPY (85%), AAPL (94%), NVDA (87%). اقتصاد كلي وسوق صعودي، قطاعات رائدة تدعم، AI_VWAP صعودي. اقتصاد كلي للمخاطرة (RISK-ON)، سوق صعودي (BULLISH)، اتجاه صعودي لـ AI_VWAP. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: للمخاطرة (RISK-ON) (درجة +35).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +35RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.45

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

—

No data0

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.7

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +35

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-05

7,723.55

BULL

+2.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,508)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-05

64,677.66

BULL

+0.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,376)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-05

15.81

Normal

-4.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

المالية (XLF)

+5.5%×1.05

المواد (XLB)

+4.9%×1.05

الصناعات (XLI)

+3.3%×1.05

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

+2.9%×1.00

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+2.5%×1.00

الاتصالات (XLC)

+1.3%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

+1.1%×1.00

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

+1.1%×1.00

العقارات (XLRE)

+2.4%×0.90

الطاقة (XLE)

+3.1%×0.90

المرافق (XLU)

-3.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 4 · SELL 0 · HOLD 6

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

769.79

Entry / SL / TP

769.79 / 750.76 / 807.85

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro & market, leading sectors support, AI_VWAP bullish.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

311.00

Entry / SL / TP

311.00 / 291.98 / 349.03

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market, AI_VWAP bullish trend.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

219.22

Entry / SL / TP

219.22 / 203.47 / 250.73

Confidence

87%

79→87

RISK-ON, BULL market, AI_VWAP bullish trend, strong tech outlook.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

414.00

Entry / SL / TP

414.00 / 380.88 / 480.24

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD state, balanced macro/market factors.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,922.57

Entry / SL / TP

1,922.57 / 1,814.78 / 2,138.15

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal, risk-on macro.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

246,000

Entry / SL / TP

246,000 / 297,338 / 168,994

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market in KR, HOLD signal from strategy.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,603

Entry / SL / TP

64,603 / 61,500 / 77,015

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions not met, holding strategy.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,906.29

Entry / SL / TP

1,906.29 / 1,877.70 / 2,001.60

Confidence

96%

87→96

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, GCS bullish signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0630

Entry / SL / TP

1.0630 / 1.0062 / 1.1766

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal. Macro positive, but market mixed.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

74.0100

Entry / SL / TP

74.0100 / 69.4666 / 83.0969

Confidence

41%

37→41

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, but bearish tech. Holding.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/05 22:06HOLD197.33

ASML08/05 22:06HOLD1,678.22

PBR08/05 22:06HOLD18.3600

VALE08/05 22:06BUY14.9400

DOGE-USD08/05 22:06HOLD0.069990

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →