Daily Briefing · August 04, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 04, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: SPY (77%), AAPL (69%), NVDA (69%). بيئة مخاطرة (RISK-ON) الكلية، سوق أمريكي صاعد، إشارات تكنولوجية إيجابية. بيئة كلية/سوق صاعد، اتجاه قوي لـ VWAP. البيئة الكلية الإجمالية: بيئة مخاطرة (RISK-ON) (نتيجة +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.45

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.79

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-03

7,600.50

BULL

+1.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,484)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-03

63,548.74

SIDEWAYS

-1.3% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (64,368)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-08-03

15.86

Normal

-0.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

الطاقة (XLE)

+10.7%×1.05

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

+0.2%×1.05

الاتصالات (XLC)

+1.0%×1.05

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

+0.9%×1.00

المالية (XLF)

+2.2%×1.00

الصناعية (XLI)

-1.3%×1.00

العقارات (XLRE)

+2.0%×1.00

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

+0.2%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

-1.9%×0.90

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

-3.0%×0.90

المرافق (XLU)

-2.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

757.67

Entry / SL / TP

757.67 / 739.23 / 794.54

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, bullish US market, positive tech signals

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

303.42

Entry / SL / TP

303.42 / 283.77 / 342.73

Confidence

69%

70→69

Bullish macro/market, strong VWAP trend

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

206.64

Entry / SL / TP

206.64 / 191.06 / 237.80

Confidence

69%

70→69

Bullish macro, tech growth phase, strong VWAP trend

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

406.11

Entry / SL / TP

406.11 / 373.62 / 471.09

Confidence

80%

73→80

Bullish macro & market phase, strong ML VWAP trend.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,898.79

Entry / SL / TP

1,898.79 / 1,789.57 / 2,117.23

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro, but HOLD tech signal.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

262,500

Entry / SL / TP

262,500 / 317,529 / 179,956

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, technical HOLD, risk-off macro.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,385

Entry / SL / TP

63,385 / 60,216 / 64,336

Confidence

50%

45→50

Holding due to sideways crypto market and RSI.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,855.24

Entry / SL / TP

1,855.24 / 1,827.41 / 1,948.00

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH US, HOLD crypto. Strategy BUY.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0751

Entry / SL / TP

1.0751 / 1.0966 / 1.0213

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals; holding on TA & Crypto sideways phase.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

73.4000

Entry / SL / TP

73.4000 / 68.5412 / 83.1176

Confidence

44%

40→44

Consolidating on 4h, RSI neutral, awaiting clearer trend.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/03 22:07HOLD189.65

ASML08/03 22:07HOLD1,642.52

PBR08/03 22:06HOLD19.0600

VALE08/03 22:06HOLD14.5800

DOGE-USD08/03 22:06HOLD0.070140

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →