Daily Briefing · August 02, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 02, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +35

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinais de compra: SPY (77%), ETH-USD (94%). Sinais de venda: AAPL (64%). Macro bullish, mercado lateral, setores líderes, tecnologia positiva. Macro RISK-ON, sinal bullish GCS, acima da média geral gaussiana: RISK-ON (pontuação +35).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +35RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.47

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.92

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

99.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

—

No data0

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 = +35

RISK-ON

Apetite por risco elevado — ativos de crescimento favorecidos

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-31

7,489.72

BULL

+0.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,481)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-01

62,762.27

BEAR

-2.5% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (64,376)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

VIX · data 2026-07-31

15.99

Normal

-6.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energia (XLE)

+11.9%×1.05

Consumo Básico (XLP)

+0.1%×1.05

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

-0.9%×1.05

Financeiro (XLF)

+2.4%×1.00

Saúde (XLV)

-0.7%×1.00

Imobiliário (XLRE)

+0.9%×1.00

Industrial (XLI)

-2.2%×1.00

Materiais (XLB)

-3.0%×1.00

Comunicação (XLC)

-1.2%×0.90

Tecnologia (XLK)

-2.9%×0.90

Utilidades (XLU)

-3.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 1 · HOLD 7

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

747.03

Entry / SL / TP

747.03 / 735.82 / 776.91

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, sideways market, leading sectors, positive tech.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

SELL

308.91

Entry / SL / TP

308.91 / 313.54 / 296.55

Confidence

64%

65→64

Strong technical SELL. Mixed market signals.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

200.75

Entry / SL / TP

200.75 / 185.80 / 230.64

Confidence

45%

45→45

Technical HOLD signal; Rule 4 caps confidence.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

404.25

Entry / SL / TP

404.25 / 410.31 / 388.08

Confidence

50%

45→50

GCS HOLD signal, below Gaussian centerline.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,877.95

Entry / SL / TP

1,877.95 / 1,840.39 / 1,971.85

Confidence

55%

50→55

Mixed market phases limit upside conviction despite RISK-ON macro.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

262,500

Entry / SL / TP

262,500 / 317,529 / 179,956

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, HOLD signal, maintain caution.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,766

Entry / SL / TP

62,766 / 59,627 / 63,707

Confidence

44%

40→44

Technical HOLD signal; weak market, bullish macro

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,845.27

Entry / SL / TP

1,845.27 / 1,817.59 / 1,937.53

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, GCS bullish signal, above Gaussian

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0597

Entry / SL / TP

1.0597 / 1.0809 / 1.0067

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals; HOLD due to sideways crypto market & tech.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

71.9200

Entry / SL / TP

71.9200 / 66.9894 / 81.7813

Confidence

50%

45→50

ML VWAP down, RSI low, mixed market phases

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/01 22:06HOLD183.62

ASML08/01 22:06HOLD1,629.00

PBR08/01 22:06BUY19.4000

VALE08/01 22:06HOLD15.0600

DOGE-USD08/01 22:06HOLD0.069030

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →