Daily Briefing · August 01, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 01, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +35

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinais de compra: MELI (94%). Sinais de venda: AAPL (64%). Macro otimista, sinais de tecnologia positivos, setores fortes. Sinal de VENDA GCS; macro RISK-ON; setor de tecnologia fraco. Macro geral: RISK-ON (pontuação +35).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +35RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

—

No data0

10Y−3M Spread

0.92

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

25 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

99.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · FG+10 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +35

RISK-ON

Apetite por risco elevado — ativos de crescimento favorecidos

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-31

7,489.72

BULL

+0.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,481)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-31

62,864.16

BEAR

-2.4% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (64,428)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

VIX · data 2026-07-31

15.99

Normal

-6.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energia (XLE)

+11.9%×1.05

Consumo Básico (XLP)

+0.1%×1.05

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

-0.9%×1.05

Financeiro (XLF)

+2.4%×1.00

Saúde (XLV)

-0.7%×1.00

Imobiliário (XLRE)

+0.9%×1.00

Industrial (XLI)

-2.2%×1.00

Materiais (XLB)

-3.0%×1.00

Comunicação (XLC)

-1.2%×0.90

Tecnologia (XLK)

-2.9%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-3.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 1 · HOLD 8

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

747.03

Entry / SL / TP

747.03 / 735.82 / 776.91

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, HOLD for now

AAPL

GCS · 1d

SELL

308.91

Entry / SL / TP

308.91 / 313.54 / 296.55

Confidence

64%

64.35→64

GCS SELL signal; RISK-ON macro; Weak tech sector.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

200.75

Entry / SL / TP

200.75 / 185.81 / 230.64

Confidence

50%

50→50

HOLD signal, mixed market phase. Capped conf.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

404.25

Entry / SL / TP

404.25 / 410.31 / 388.08

Confidence

50%

45→50

TSM: GCS HOLD. Below Gaussian, RSI 46.3.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,877.95

Entry / SL / TP

1,877.95 / 1,840.39 / 1,971.85

Confidence

94%

85→94

Bullish macro, positive tech signals, strong sectors.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

262,500

Entry / SL / TP

262,500 / 317,529 / 179,956

Confidence

55%

50→55

Hold per technicals. Bear market. Uncertainty.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

62,905

Entry / SL / TP

62,905 / 61,961 / 66,050

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed market signals, cautious HOLD on mixed signals.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,860.51

Entry / SL / TP

1,860.51 / 1,832.60 / 1,953.54

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal, bullish macro. Conforms to rule 4.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0608

Entry / SL / TP

1.0608 / 1.0820 / 1.0078

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD, mixed market phase, RISK-ON macro.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

72.7400

Entry / SL / TP

72.7400 / 67.8012 / 82.6175

Confidence

44%

40→44

Strategy HOLD signal, mixed market phases.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/31 22:07BUY183.62

ASML07/31 22:07HOLD1,629.00

PBR07/31 22:06HOLD19.4000

VALE07/31 22:06HOLD15.0600

SHIB-USD07/31 22:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →